Sports Betting

NFL Week 4 – 49ers @ Rams: Betting Analysis

St. Louis Rams QB Sam Bradford passing against Atlanta Falcons defense

2013 NFC West Divisional Matchup sees 49ers as 3 point ROAD favorites vs the St. Louis Rams ON Week 4 THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL

Kickoff: 8:25PM ET

Where: Edward Jones Dome, St. Louis MO

Forecast: 72°F (dome)

Spread: SF -3.0

TV: NFL Network

Week 4 of the 2013 NFL Season will kickoff with a divisional game between the underachieving 49ers and reeling St. Louis Rams.  Both teams are coming off lopsided losses and are in dire need of a win.

The point spread opened at SF -3.5 and was quickly bet down to -3.0.  Since then it has held steady at around -3 points with the 49ers coming in as road chalk.  As expected the public has bet heavily on last year’s NFC champs with about 75% of total money coming in on San Francisco.

“We hate the Niners still,” Dickerson said. “That hasn’t changed.”

49ers linebacker Aldon Smith

Aldon Smith liked to get cross-faded

The 49ers have a laundry list of injuries.  Two key players on both sides of the ball for San Francisco are questionable as of Thursday morning: LB Patrick Willis and TE Vernon Davis.  If you’ve been living in a cave for the past week, Aldon Smith is also a no-go: the star LB is indefinitely out after being arrested on suspicion of DUI and possession of marijuana.

St. Louis is healthier but looked horrendous last week vs. Dallas – Sam Bradford was sacked over 5 times.

Colin Kaepernick has experienced the much touted ‘sophmore blues’ in his 2nd season.  Experts are attributing his regression to 49ers Offensive Coordinator Greg Roman taking a different play-calling approach this year.

Bettors are usually wary of putting money down on primetime NFL matchups and especially one that has a line that looks to be particularly spot-on.

Joe Duffy of Offshoreinsiders.com is advising to take St. Louis and the points.  With a winning record so far this year, I’m tailing him.

RAMS +3.0

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